Daily Analysis on JUBLFOOD

JUBLFOOD — Combined View Technical (Daily) Jubilant FoodWorks is in a short-term corrective phase after the recent pullback. Price is below the 20- and 50-day EMAs and trading under the 200-day MA, signalling short-term weakness. Momentum indicators are subdued — MACD in negative territory and RSI around 36 (near-oversold), suggesting scope for a small technical bounce but not a confirmed reversal yet. Immediate support sits around ₹620–₹625, with key resistance in the ₹655–₹675 area (cluster of moving averages). A sustained move above ₹675–680 would be required to signal recovery; failure of the ₹620 zone could extend the slide toward ₹600. Fundamental Jubilant FoodWorks is a leading retail food-service operator (Domino’s India & other brands), benefiting from strong brand equity, pan-India store network and a scalable franchise model. The company generates healthy operating cash flows but remains sensitive to food/packing input inflation, delivery costs and consumer discretionary demand. Recent quarters have shown pressure on margins from commodity cost and promotional intensity, although store expansion and higher delivery penetration support revenue growth if execution stays strong. Micro (Company-specific) Growth drivers: new store openings, digital ordering, higher same-store sales recovery and efficiency in delivery. Risks: raw-material inflation (cheese, oil, packaging), wage inflation, and competitive discounting. Watch for management commentary on franchise health, store rollouts, and margin recovery measures. Macro (Industry & Economy) Consumer discretionary demand and urban consumption trends drive sales; festival season and reopening tailwinds can boost volumes. Inflation and fuel costs affect delivery economics. RBI policy, rural demand and unemployment levels shape medium-term consumption trends. Upcoming Events & Impact Quarterly Results (Q1 FY26) — (On 13th Aug): Results and management commentary on input costs, same-store sales (SSSG), and store additions can cause short-term volatility. Positive surprise (better SSSG / margin improvement / strong franchise metrics) → likely trigger for a rebound toward ₹680–720. Negative surprise (weak SSSG / margin squeeze / slowdown in store openings) → could push price back toward ₹600 or test lower supports. Trading / Investor View Short-term traders: avoid new aggressive longs until price reclaims ₹675–680 or shows clear reversal patterns on volume. Consider scalps on intraday bounces with tight stops. Positional investors: dips to ₹620–625 can be monitored for accumulation with a stop below ₹600, targeting ₹680 initially and ₹720+ if momentum picks up over 1–3 months. Risk management: watch commodity inflation, promotional intensity and quarterly guidance. Stock Movement in 2025 The stock has declined approximately 7% year-to-date in 2025. Over the past 6 months, it has slipped around 4%; over the last year, it is down roughly 2.9%. 52-week range: Low ₹559, High ₹797; current trading near ₹632–633. Investor Holding & Activity Promoter Holding: 40.27%. FIIs: 21.05%, up slightly from 20.54% in March 2025. DIIs (mutual funds): 32.32%, increased from 31.03% in March 2025; mutual funds specifically hold 26.76%. Others (including retail/public): 6.36% Warning Registration granted by SEBI, membership of a SEBI recognized supervisory body (BSE), and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Markets involve risk; past performance is not indicative of future returns. Disclosure Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. Read all related documents carefully before investing. I / we do not hold any personal or family position in JUBLFOOD (as of this note). For more info: Visit Us- www.investogainerresearch.com Call Us- 9009099805, 9098804206 Email Us- info@investogainerresearch.com